Showing posts with label HD 219134. Show all posts
Showing posts with label HD 219134. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 18, 2017

HD 219134 Scorecard: 5 planets, 2 transiting


Figure 1. Architecture of the mixed-mass planetary system around HD 219134, a nearby K dwarf, as characterized by Gillon et al. 2017 and Johnson et al. 2016. All five planets are shown at their approximate relative sizes. Planets b and c are observed in transit, so their radii are known. The radii of the other planets are based on those of planets with similar masses and measured radii (e.g., planets d and e are assigned the same radii as Neptune and Saturn, respectively). See Table 1.
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Fresh from their discovery of four new Earth-size planets transiting TRAPPIST-1 (a minuscule M dwarf in the Sun’s back yard), Michaël Gillon & colleagues have contributed exciting new data to our developing picture of another nearby exoplanetary system: HD 219134. The host star is a metal-rich K3 dwarf located only 6.55 parsecs away (21 light years) in the direction of Cassiopeia. Gillon & colleagues confirm a previous report by Motalebi & colleagues (blogged here) that the innermost planet (b) is visible in transit, while announcing that the second planet (c) also transits. In addition, they present radial velocity masses for both transiting planets (hereafter tranets), as well as a refined radius for planet b. For both objects, these values are consistent with a purely rocky composition.

After the 2015 announcement by Motalebi & colleagues (hereafter M15), two subsequent studies offered additional data and analyses of the HD 219134 system: Vogt & colleagues (hereafter V15, blogged here) and Johnson & colleagues (hereafter J16, blogged here). Many findings from these studies overlap, but others are mutually inconsistent, including results on the precise number of planets and their approximate masses and periods. Nonetheless, all three studies agreed that HD 219134 hosts two or more low-mass planets on hot and warm orbits, plus one gas giant less massive than Saturn outside the system ice line.

In their new study, Gillon & colleagues confine their attention to the inner system, where they identify a total of four low-mass planets. This result contrasts with the three small planets proposed by M15 and the five preferred by V15. Along with their transit findings, Gillon’s group also report the latest radial velocity data on all four planets from continuing observations with the HARPS-N spectrograph. In passing, they affirm the presence of the giant planet but do not comment on the conflicting results of the earlier studies. Table 1 summarizes their findings on planets b through f, supplemented by the findings of J16 on planet e (which J16 called planet h, even though no one has proposed as many as seven planets – i.e., b through h – for this system).

Table 1. Revised system parameters of HD 219134

Tags: Period = orbital period in days; a = semimajor axis in astronomical units (AU); Radius = radius in Earth units; Mass = mass in Earth units; Teq = equilibrium temperature in Kelvin. Data on planet e are based on those for planet h in Johnson et al. 2016. All other data are based on Gillon et al. 2017.

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conflicts resolved?

We’ve now seen four successive studies of HD 219134 conducted by three different scientific teams. (I regard Gillon et al. 2017 as the same team as M15, since the two author groups overlap substantially and both report HARPS-N data.) Our picture of planet b is largely unchanged from the results of M15 and V15, except that we have a firmer understanding of its radius. With the new transit data and improved radial velocity data on planet c, we can also be confident of that planet’s mass, radius, and density, with no change in its estimated period. Even planet d retains virtually the same period reported by M15 and V15, although its mass falls between the values they provided.

Although planet f was not included in the analysis of M15, and a potential planet with a similar periodicity was rejected by J16, the object reported by Gillon & colleagues looks a lot like the planet f proposed by V15: its period is virtually the same, while its mass is a bit lower – a minimum of 7.3 Earth masses (7.3 Mea) instead of 8.9 Mea. Notably, the newly published period of planet f appears to place it just outside a 2:1 mean motion resonance with planet d. Similar period ratios have appeared in several compact low-mass systems discovered by the Kepler Telescope.

Consistent with M15 and J16, Gillon & colleagues implicitly reject V15’s proposed planet g at 94 days. They remain silent on the parameters of the system’s gas giant, to which J16 assign a period of almost 6 years and a semimajor axis of about 3 AU.

mass distribution

The new data suggest that HD 219134 harbors a substantial mass in refractory elements within a space much smaller than the region bounded by Mercury’s orbit in our system (see Table 1). Gillon & colleagues argue that the two innermost planets, b and c, have minimal volatile constituents, with radial velocity data indicating a combined refractory mass of about 9 Mea for this pair. Although we remain ignorant of the radii of the next two planets, f and d, most exoplanets with comparable masses (in the approximate range of 5 to 20 Mea) and comparable thermal environments (cooler than Venus) support substantial envelopes of hydrogen and helium. Existing studies suggest that the bulk mass composition of such planets is generally between 1% and 30% hydrogen/helium (see Lopez & Fortney 2014). Therefore, given their combined radial velocity masses of 23.5 Mea, we can estimate an aggregate mass of 16-22 Mea in refractory elements for this cooler, fatter pair, with hydrogen and other volatiles accounting for the remaining 1-7 Mea. That brings the total refractory mass of the four inner planets into the range of 25-31 Mea.

Altogether, the radial velocity data indicate a total mass of about 33 Mea for the inner system of HD 219134, placing it in roughly the same ballpark as the aggregate mass of the six-planet systems around Kepler-11 (about 30 Mea) and Kepler-20 (about 55 Mea). All these endowments are much richer than the aggregate mass of the four terrestrial planets in our Solar System, which collectively sum to 1.98 Mea. 

stingy spitzer scheduling

The late, lamented Kepler Mission demonstrated the need to collect continuous photometric data over a period of years in order to characterize the inner reaches of any planetary system. The longer the sequence of light curves, the more robust the resulting analysis of potential transits. In light of that history, I was surprised to learn that Gillon’s group was able to observe only two transits each for planets b and c. Their observing sessions with the Spitzer Space Telescope were confined to periods of 6.5 to 7.5 hours centered on the transit window predicted for each planet. As a result, we have no idea whether any of the other planets orbiting HD 219134 can be observed in transit. Definitive findings one way or the other would dramatically improve our understanding of this system’s distinctive architecture and constrain the degree of coplanarity among the orbits of the inner planets

Notably, Spitzer had to monitor TRAPPIST-1 for 20 consecutive days in order to untangle the orbits of its seven known planets, and even that allotment was too brief to obtain a clear picture of the outermost planet, which has a period just shy of 19 days. To illuminate the inner system of HD 219134 would require an observing run in excess of 200 days – evidently an impossibility at present. What we humans need is a whole array of space-based observatories staring year after year at all the most interesting stars in our neighborhood.

architecture and habitability

As I discussed in an earlier post on HD 219134, this system can be characterized as a “rich mixed-mass system,” defined as a planetary system with at least two low-mass planets plus at least one gas giant on a wider orbit. Including our Solar System, about a dozen such configurations are known. They share important similarities. In most of them – including HD 219134 – two or more low-mass planets are observed in transit, while the gas giant tends to be the outermost of the known planets. (The exceptions to the latter generalization are Kepler-87, Kepler-89, and the Solar System, each of which includes a gas giant with a low-mass planet on an exterior orbit.)

In more than half of the known systems –Kepler-48, Kepler-68, Kepler-87, Kepler-167, HD 219134, HD 10180, and our Solar System – we note a gap between the inner system of low-mass planets and the outer gas giant. Except for our own system, we can’t be sure whether any of these apparent gaps is truly empty. Some might be occupied by one or more planets that are misaligned with the others, and thus not visible in transit, or hiding a planet or planets that are too lightweight for radial velocity observations to detect.

In any case, such gaps are significant, because in HD 219134 and several other systems, they correspond to the classical habitable zone. That’s why I’d like to see lots of follow-up observations of HD 219134, accompanied by analyses of the orbital stability of potential Earth-mass planets occupying the space between 0.5 and 1 AU. Three such analyses have already been conducted for the habitable zone of HD 10180, with conflicting results (as blogged here).

beware of outsiders

Equally significant is the mechanism responsible for creating and maintaining these orbital gaps. The difficulty of identifying such a mechanism is underscored by the case of our Solar System, where we still have no widely endorsed scenario to explain why mass is severely depleted between the orbits of Earth and Jupiter, and altogether absent between the orbits of Mars and the Main Belt asteroids. Jupiter is probably involved, but the details are elusive (see Batygin & Laughlin 2015, Raymond et al. 2016). 

The question of orbital gaps and missing mass in this subset of system architectures is subsumed by a more general concern regarding the role of longer-period gas giants in systems with multiple low-mass planets on hot or warm orbits. Several recent studies have addressed the stability of compact multiplanet systems in the presence of an outer giant, whether seen or unseen (Hands & Alexander 2016, Hansen 2017, Becker & Adams 2017, Huang et al. 2017, Jontof-Hutter et al. 2017, Read et al. 2017). The results suggest that “friendly” giants, meaning those permitting the survival of several small, closely spaced planets, need to be cool in more ways than one. Not only must they follow orbits well-separated from the inner planets, in regions where insolation and equilibrium temperatures are lower; they must also be dynamically cool, with minimal eccentricities (deviations from circularity) and inclinations (deviations from coplanarity).

The most delicately balanced configuration – and thus the one most easily upset – contains several planets continually observable in transit. This balance can be maintained only a) if no gas giant is present or b) if the giant is either precisely aligned with the inner ensemble or very widely separated from it. Higher values of eccentricity, inclination, and mass, as well as lower values of semimajor axis, will lead to perturbations of the inner planets. In a perturbed regime, their inclinations might oscillate, such that transits periodically cease for certain planets and then resume after an interval, or become permanently misaligned, such that only one planet, or none at all, is observed in transit. In cases of extreme excitation of inclinations and eccentricities, some or all of the inner planets would be lost altogether.

For example, Becker & Adams found that, among 18 Kepler systems with at least 4 transiting planets each, potential gas giant companions would have to maintain semimajor axes of 10 AU or more to avoid perturbing the inner planets. They also made more specific predictions for several interesting systems featured in previous blog posts: WASP-47, Kepler-11, Kepler-62, Kepler-90, and Kepler-20.

The inner system of WASP-47 consists of a gas giant flanked by two low-mass planets inside a semimajor axis of 0.10 AU; the outer system contains another gas giant at 1.36 AU. Becker & Adams concluded that the orbit of the outer giant must be approximately coplanar with those of the inner tranets, or else they would become mutually misaligned and no longer be observable in transit. For Kepler-11, Kepler-62, and Kepler-20, their conclusions were even more restrictive: none of these systems could harbor an additional planet of 30 Mea or more between 1 and 30 AU without upsetting the clockwork orbits of the inner tranets. (Notably, Jontof-Hutter & colleagues reached a less restrictive conclusion for Kepler-11, ruling out any slightly inclined Jupiter-mass planets within 3 AU.) For Kepler-20, a total of six low-mass planets are known, but only five are observed in transit, given the misalignment of planet g. Becker & Adams propose that an undetected gas giant on a cool orbit might be responsible for this configuration.  

In an analogous study, Read & colleagues investigated the stability of systems containing short-period tranets and non-transiting giants at larger semimajor axes, including two rich mixed-mass systems, Kepler-48 and Kepler-68. For Kepler-48, they concluded that the outer giant must be closely aligned with the inner system, whereas for Kepler-68, available data provided no strong constraints on inclination.

The upshot of this group of studies is that compact inner systems of low-mass planets can typically tolerate cool giants only when the latter are well separated and well aligned. Accordingly, Brad Hansen included an evocative short title for his recent article on the stability problem: Beware of Outsiders. Once we have more data on HD 219134, comparable analyses should be able to constrain the alignment of planet e.

tranets in near space

HD 219134 now warrants a throng of superlatives: it’s the nearest star with a tranet of any description, the nearest Sun-like star with a tranet, the nearest with more than one tranet, the nearest with a terrestrial tranet, and the nearest with more than one terrestrial tranet. In order of increasing distance from the Sun, its closest rivals are Gliese 436 at 10.2 parsecs (one hot tranet more massive than Neptune), Gliese 1132 at 12 parsecs (one hot terrestrial tranet), TRAPPIST 1 at 12.1 parsecs (seven terrestrial tranets), 55 Cancri at 12.3 parsecs (one very hot, massive terrestrial tranet), LHS 1140 at 12.47 parsecs (one temperate terrestrial tranet), Gliese 1214 at 13 parsecs (one hot, puffy tranet about half the mass of Uranus), HD 189733 at 19.2 parsecs (one transiting Hot Jupiter), HD 97658 at 21 parsecs (one hot tranet more massive than Neptune), Gliese 3470 at 29 parsecs (one hot Uranus-mass tranet), HAT-P-11 at 38 parsecs (one hot tranet more massive than Neptune), and Kepler-42 at 39 parsecs (three warm terrestrial tranets in the nearest Kepler system). All the more distant tranets are either Hot Jupiters or low-mass planets discovered by space-based telescopes (Kepler and CoRoT).

Among the 12 transiting systems located within 40 parsecs (130 light years), only one includes a transiting gas giant on a hot orbit (HD 189733), a reminder that the well-known species of Hot Jupiters is actually quite rare. More than half of these nearby transiting systems center on M dwarfs, while only two systems with rocky tranets orbit Sun-like stars (HD 219134 and 55 Cancri). Coincidentally or not, these two are also the only mixed-mass systems in the group.

Given so many superlatives and distinctions, it’s safe to predict that we’ll be hearing more news from HD 219134 for years to come.


REFERENCES
Batygin K, Laughlin G. (2015) Jupiter’s decisive role in the inner Solar System’s early evolution. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112, 4214-4217. Abstract: 2015PNAS..112.4214B
Becker JC, Adams FC. (2017) Effects of unseen additional planetary perturbers on compact extrasolar planetary systems. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 468, 549-563. Abstract: 2017MNRAS.468..549B
Gillon M, Demory B-O, Van Grootel V, Motalebi F, Lovis C, Collier Cameron A, Charbonneau D, Latham D, Molinari E, Pepe FA, Ségransan D, Sasselov D, Udry S, Mayor M, Micela G, Piotto G, Sozzetti A. (2017) Two massive rocky planets transiting a K-dwarf 6.5 parsecs away. Nature Astronomy 1, 56. Abstract: 2017NatAs...1E..56G
Hands TO, Alexander RD. (2016) There might be giants: unseen Jupiter-mass planets as sculptors of tightly packed planetary systems. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 456, 4121-4127.
Hansen B. (2017) Perturbation of compact planetary systems by distant giant planets. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 1531-1560. Abstract: 2017MNRAS.tmp..186H
Huang CX, Petrovich C, Deibert E. (2017) Dynamically hot Super-Earths from outer giant planet scattering. Astronomical Journal 153, 210.
Johnson MC, Endl M, Cochran WD, Meschiari S, Robertson P, MacQueen PJ, Brugamyer EJ, Caldwell C, Hatzes AP, Ramírez I, Wittenmyer RA. (2016) A 12-year activity cycle for the nearby planet host star HD 219134. Astrophysical Journal 821, 74. Abstract: 2016ApJ...821...74J
Jontof-Hutter D, Weaver BP, Ford EB, Lissauer JJ, Fabrycky DC. (2017) Outer architecture of Kepler-11: Constraints from coplanarity. In press. Abstract: 2017arXiv170308829J
Motalebi F, Udry S, Gillon M, Lovis C, Ségransan D, Buchhave LA, Demory BO, Malavolta L, Dressing CD, Sasselov D, Rice K, Charbonneau D, Collier Cameron A, Latham D, Molinari E, Pepe FA, Affer L, Bonomo AS, Cosentino R, Dumusque X, .Figueira P, Fiorenzano A, Gettel S, Harutunyan A, Haywood RD, Johnson J, Lopez E, Lopez-Morales M, Mayor M, Micela G, Mortier A, Nascimbeni V, Philips D, Piotto G, Pollacco D, Queloz D, Sozzetti A Venderburg A, Watson CA. (2015) The HARPS-N Rocky Planet Search I. HD 219134 b: A transiting rocky planet in a multi-planet system at 6.5 pc from the Sun. Astronomy & Astrophysics 584, A72. Abstract: 2015A&A...584A..72M
Raymond SN, Izidoro A, Bitsch B, Jacobson SA. (2016) Did Jupiter’s core form in the innermost parts of the Sun’s protoplanetary disk? Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 458, 2962-2972. Abstract: 2016MNRAS.458.2962R
Read MJ, Wyatt MC, Triaud AH. (2017) Transit probabilities in secularly evolving planetary systems. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. In press. Abstract: 2017arXiv170310046R
Vogt SS, Burt J, Meschiari S, Butler RP, Henry GW, Wang S, Holden B, Gapp C, Hanson R, Arriagada P, Keiser S, Teske J, Laughlin G. (2015) A six-planet system orbiting HD 219134. Astrophysical Journal 814, 12. Abstract: 2015ApJ...814...12V


Wednesday, April 27, 2016

HD 219134: Take Three


Figure 1. Analyses of longitudinal radial velocity data by Johnson & colleagues have confirmed three planets orbiting HD 219134, a small Sun-like star of spectral class K3 located at a distance of only 6.53 parsecs (21 light years). Additional low-mass planets were reported in this system by Motalebi & colleagues (2015) and Vogt & colleagues (2015), but Johnson’s group had insufficient data to confirm or reject those candidates. In the figure, the planets colored aquamarine (b, d) are supported by Johnson et al. 2016, Motalebi et al. 2015, and Vogt et al. 2015; the large blue planet (e (h)) is supported by Johnson et al. 2016 and Vogt et al. 2015; and the orange planet (c) is supported by Motalebi et al. 2015 and Vogt et al. 2015

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I love science! Replication of results, falsification of invalid hypotheses! Teams of scientists working on singular questions, converging on robust answers, shining the light of understanding on the farthest reaches of the universe!

Or at least that’s the ideal.

Since last summer, we’ve seen science in action around HD 219134, an appealing amber star of 0.78 Solar masses (0.78 Msol) located very nearby in the northern constellation of Cassiopeia. That star and its planetary system have been featured in three previous blog posts (here, here, and here), which record unfolding developments both in the number of the reported planets and in the most appropriate characterization of the system architecture.

Two major studies last year presented conflicting analyses based on two different datasets. Motalebi & colleagues (2015; hereafter M15) proposed a four-planet architecture comprising three low-mass planets inside 0.25 AU and a gas giant of 0.19 Mjup (62 Mea) just outside 2 AU. In order of distance from the star, the planets were designated b through e. Almost simultaneously, Vogt & colleagues (2015; hereafter V15) proposed a six-planet architecture with five low-mass planets inside 0.4 AU and a gas giant of 0.34 Mjup (108 Mea) just outside 3 AU. In the manuscript circulated before publication, these six were designated b through g in order of distance from the star, but on publication they were renamed b through h without reference to their distance, omitting e altogether (perhaps reserving that letter for the planet reported by M15?). M15 also proposed a rotation period of 42.3 days for the host star, while V15 proposed a period of approximately 20 days.

Now a third team, one of whose members (Meschiari) also participated in V15, has weighed in on this system (Johnson et al. 2016; hereafter J16). Most of the authors are based at the University of Texas at Austin and involved in the McDonald Observatory Planet Search. A key strength of this work is its radial velocity coverage, which spans 27 years. Another is its data on stellar activity, which span 17 years and were obtained by the Keck/HIRES spectrograph. A third strength is the analytical acumen of the investigative team, which includes Artie Hatzes and Paul Robertson. A notable limitation, as the authors concede, is the low precision of the radial velocity data, which did not permit definitive results regarding any of the proposed low-mass planets apart from the innermost, planet b (see Figure 1).

The most direct contribution of J16 is their finding that HD 219134 has a stellar activity cycle with a period of 11.6 years. This is very similar to the 11-year cycle of our Sun, which manifests in the ebb and flow of sunspots on the Sun and auroras on Earth. Identifying this cycle in HD 219134 assisted the analysis of the radial velocity data, enabling J16 to rule out systematic effects originating in stellar activity. However, they were unable to determine the star’s rotation period, which is essential for a robust data analysis.

As the authors note, a star’s rotation has a critical relationship with its age. For HD 219134, a period of about 20 days would imply an age of about 1.3 billion years. Notably, V15 reported a period of 22.8 days for their planet f – very close to their estimate of the stellar rotation period. A period of 42.3 days, as reported by M15, would imply an age of 4.1 billion years, making the star a bit younger than our Sun. J16 favor a period similar to M15’s estimate, which they say is most consistent with the stellar activity data.

Table 1. Summary of findings on the HD 21934 planetary system

Tags: P = approximate periodicity in days; PL = planet designation; d = reported period in days; Mea = reported mass in Earth units; a = semimajor axis in astronomical units (AU; Earth’s semimajor axis = 1 AU); e = orbital eccentricity.
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In broad terms, J16 support M15’s analysis of the low-mass planets in the inner system and V15’s analysis of the gas giant in the outer system (Table 1).

In the inner system, J16 had no difficulty recovering a signal corresponding to planet b, which was characterized by M15 and V15 as a planet less massive than 5 Mea with a period just over 3 days. J16 also recovered periodicities at 22.8 days and 79.1 days, but they concluded that both signals were caused by stellar rotation (as an alias or harmonic of the period) rather than by planets. They were much more confident of another signal at about 47 days, which corresponds to planet d in the models of M15 and V15. However, the two earlier studies provided conflicting estimates of this object’s minimum mass, with M15 proposing 8.67 Mea and V15 proposing 21.3 Mea. J16 did not comment on this candidate’s mass.

J16 also failed to recover any periodicity corresponding to planet c. Nevertheless, both M15 and V15 characterized this object in very similar terms, while J16 noted that their own radial velocity precision was significantly lower than that of the two earlier studies. Thus it seems safe to regard planet c as validated.

In the outer system, J16 confirmed the small gas giant detected by M15 and V15, noting that the duration of M15’s dataset was too brief to inform a robust estimate of the planet’s orbital period. Benefiting from their extended radial velocity coverage, J16 calculated a period similar to that reported by V15 (2121 days versus 2247 days from V15), but they favored a mass closer to M15 (76 Mea, versus 62 Mea from M15 and 108 Mea from V15). Sadly, they retained the confusing designation of planet h for this object.

I say “sadly” because h implies a system with seven exoplanets, whereas only one extrasolar system with that many companions has been confirmed to date: Kepler-90. The planeticity of this remarkable system is rivaled only by HD 10180, which has six exoplanets (c through h) confirmed by radial velocity measurements and a seventh (b) whose existence has remained tentative ever since the system’s initial publication in 2011. Notably, no study has yet proposed more than six planets for HD 219134, and J16 were dubious (though not dismissive) of two of the six reported by V15. So I contend that planet e is a more appropriate designation for the cool gas giant in this system, on the grounds of logical consistency.

Figure 2. Selected mixed-mass planetary systems
Tags: ME = Earth masses; RE = Earth radii; AU = astronomical units (Earth-Sun separation = 1 AU). Selection criteria: At least two low-mass planets and at least one gas giant on an exterior orbit. In each system with transiting planets, all transiting orbits are co-planar. Note that gas giants Kepler-89d and WASP-47b are also observed in transit, while a single transit is reported for the innermost planet of HD 219134.
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As we learn more and more about its architecture, HD 219134 becomes a more and more interesting example of what I might call “a rich mixed-mass system.” Figure 2 illustrates the construct I have in mind. It updates Figure 3 from a recent posting (Almost Jupiter) by revising the orbit of the outer planet of HD 219134 and adding our Solar System.

These 11 systems look like variations on a single theme. All center on a Sun-like star (o.70-1.25 Msol) and include at least two low-mass planets with at least one gas giant on a wider orbit. In 9 out of 11 systems, at least one low-mass planet orbits inside 0.1 AU, and in 8 out of 11, the gas giant orbits outside 1 AU. In three systems (including our own), at least one additional low-mass planet orbits outside the (outer) gas giant. One system (WASP-47) hosts two gas giants inside the system ice line, such that one dominates the inner cluster of planets and the other orbits in the system habitable zone. Another (Kepler-90) might host two warm giants, since planets g and h both have radii larger than 8 Rea.

Although the Solar System is typically the oddball in any line-up of planetary systems orbiting Sun-like stars, it bears a distinct family resemblance to most systems in Figure 2. Specifically, it is one of nine systems in this sample with a pronounced gap between the inner aggregation of low-mass planets and the cool giant. In our system the gap appears in the void between Mars and Jupiter. Such a gap is absent only from the two most compact systems (Kepler-89, 289), where all known planets orbit inside 0.6 AU.

Even one of our system’s oddest features – the absence of planets inside 0.3 AU – has an extrasolar counterpart, since Kepler-289 reveals a similar dearth of planets inside 0.2 AU. Evidently gaps can appear almost anywhere within 5 AU of a host star.

Nevertheless, the Solar System’s two cold gas giants make it unique among the systems considered here. Ours is also the only one with confirmed or even proposed objects of habitable mass (i.e., 0.3-3.0 Mea) orbiting in the liquid water zone. Three other systems in this line-up harbor planets in that favored region (WASP-47, Kepler-68, HD 10810). Unfortunately, none are habitable: two are gas giants and the third, HD 10810 h, is more massive than Neptune.

What about the seven systems where the gap occupies the habitable zone? In one of them (Kepler-90), an adjacent planet might prevent habitable planets from forming or surviving. But in six other systems (HD 219134 and Kepler-48, 87, 89, 167, 289) the habitable zone looks empty. For each of these, I’d love to see dynamical simulations of the long-term stability of hypothetical Earth-mass planets on habitable orbits.

migration through a radially structured disk

We have lots of theories about the evolution of our Solar System. These days, the most popular hinge on the unique relationship between Jupiter and Saturn. As noted above, however, none of the other systems in Figure 2 contain such a power couple. Could some other aspect of system evolution, some factor independent of primordial resonance between two gas giants, be responsible for the structural commonalities visible in these systems?

Gavin Coleman and Richard Nelson recently produced two studies in quick succession on their developing model of system evolution (2016a, 2016b; hereafter CN16A and CN16B). Each study reports a set of N-body simulations of planet formation around a star of 1 Msol in a realistic protoplanetary disk that includes gas, pebbles, boulders, planetesimals, and a cavity inside a radius of 0.05 AU. The simulations modeled key physical processes known to affect planet formation and disk evolution, such as magnetohydrodynamic turbulence at the inner edge, aerodynamic drag on planetesimals, gas accretion on planetary cores, Type I migration, Type II migration, and photoevaporation. Both sets of simulations produced planetary systems similar to examples in Figure 2.

CN16A reported an ensemble of 72 simulations. Each one began with a disk of radius 40 AU containing 52 protoplanets (also called planetary embryos) of 10% Earth mass each (0.1 Mea), traveling on orbits between 1 and 20 AU. The full ensemble used initial gas disks that were either 1, 1.5, or 2 times the mass of the minimum mass Solar nebula, with disk metallicities of either 0.5, 1, or 2 times Solar.

This set of simulations readily formed Hot Jupiters, sometimes with low-mass companions on adjacent orbits; the latter systems recall WASP-47. The same setup also produced compact systems of low-mass planets similar to Kepler-11. However, it failed to produce any gas giants with periods longer than 10 days.

The second study, CN16B, reported an unspecified number of simulations with disks initially containing 44 planetary embryos of 0.2 Mea each on orbits between 1 and 20 AU. The full ensemble used initial disk masses that were either 1 or 2 times the minimum mass Solar nebula, with metallicities of either 0.5, 1, or 2 times Solar. Disk lifetimes ranged from 3.5 to 8.5 million years.

The most significant change in the new setup was the inclusion of radial structures in the protoplanetary disk arising from discontinuities in viscous stress and the local surface density of solid particles. Such structures can also be described as planet traps or dead zones: well-defined regions with finite lifetimes where migrating solids become stranded and mutual interactions result in the accretion of planetesimals and protoplanets. Each simulation in CN16B included four radial structures whose location and duration varied from run to run. As one structure subsided, another formed at a different radius. All were located outside the system ice line at semimajor axes wider than 5 AU (see Figure 5 in CN16B).

Figure 3. The protoplanetary disk around TW Hydrae

This young star has a huge protoplanetary disk whose fortuitous alignment enables a face-on view from the Solar System. The disk is about 5% as massive as our Sun (0.05 Msol), and its radius is about 90 AU. Radial structures can be observed throughout (Nomura et al. 2016, Debes et al. 2016).
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For disks of sufficient mass and metallicity, the improved setup produced both Hot Jupiters and long-period gas giants. Overall results replicated the widely reported “period valley” between 0.1 and 0.5 AU (the range of semimajor axes where gas giant planets are rare). Final architectures included systems with a Hot Jupiter plus an outer giant companion; compact inner systems of low mass planets bounded by a gap with a cool giant orbiting outside it (siblings of HD 219134 and Kepler-167); and systems with two cool gas giants analogous to Jupiter and Saturn. This setup also produced compact low-mass systems, some with inner gaps resembling those around Kepler-289 and our Sun.

As Coleman & Nelson readily concede, they’re working with a “toy model” that isn’t intended to exactly recapitulate planet formation or predict the relative frequency of system architectures. Nevertheless, their model incorporates the latest theoretical perspectives and observational insights (e.g., high-resolution imaging of the protoplanetary disks around HL Tauri and TW Hydrae), and its most recent iteration compares very well with other available approaches. As far as I’m aware, it’s the only evolutionary model proposed to date that can produce system architectures whose diversity rivals reality. I’m eager to see the next study this team produces.


 
REFERENCES
Coleman G, Nelson R. (2016a) On the formation of compact planetary systems via concurrent core accretion and migration. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 457, 2480-2500. Abstract: 2016MNRAS.457.2480C
Coleman G, Nelson R. (2016b) Giant planet formation in radially structured protoplanetary discs. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. In press. Abstract: 2016arXiv160405191C
Debes JH, Jang-Condell H, Schneider G. (2016) The inner structure of the TW Hya disk as revealed in scattered light. Astrophysical Journal Letters 819, L1.
Johnson MC, Endl M, Cochran WD, Meschiari S, Robertson P, MacQueen PJ, Brugamyer EJ, Caldwell C, Hatzes AP, Ramírez I, Wittenmyer RA. (2016) A 12-year activity cycle for the nearby planet host star HD 219134. Astrophysical Journal 821, 74. Abstract: 2016ApJ...821...74J
Kasting JF, Kopparapu R, Ramirez RM, Harman CE. (2014) Remote life-detection criteria, habitable zone boundaries, and the frequency of Earth-like planets around M and late K stars. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111, 12641-12646. Abstract: http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2014PNAS..11112641K
Kipping DM, Torres G, Henze C, Teachey A, Isaacson H, Petigura E, Marcy GW, Buchhave LA, Chen J, Bryson ST, Sandford E. (2016) A transiting Jupiter analog. Astrophysical Journal 820, 112. Abstract: 2016ApJ...820..112K
Lovis C, Ségransan D, Mayor M, Udry S, Benz W, Bertaux J-L, & al. (2011) The HARPS search for southern extra-solar planets. XXVIII. Up to seven planets orbiting HD 10180: probing the architecture of low-mass planetary systems. Astronomy & Astrophysics 528, A112. Abstract: 2011A&A...528A.112L
Motalebi F, Udry S, Gillon M, Lovis C, Ségransan D, Buchhave LA, Demory BO, Malavolta L, Dressing CD, Sasselov D, et al. (2015) The HARPS-N Rocky Planet Search I. HD 219134 b: A transiting rocky planet in a multi-planet system at 6.5 pc from the Sun. Astronomy & Astrophysics 584, A72. Abstract: 2015A&A...584A..72M
Nomura H, Tsukagoshi T, Kawabe R, Ishimoto D, Okuzumi S, Muto T, et al. (2016) ALMA observations of a gap and a ring in the protoplanetary disk around TW Hya. Astrophysical Journal Letters 819, L7.
Vogt SS, Burt J, Meschiari S, Butler RP, Henry GW, Wang S, Holden B, Gapp C, Hanson R, Arriagada P, Keiser S, Teske J, Laughlin G. (2015) A six-planet system orbiting HD 219134. Astrophysical Journal 814, 12. Abstract: 2015ApJ...814...12V

 

Friday, January 1, 2016

A Data-Driven Year



Figure 1. Sunrise on Pluto with New Horizons: a once-in-a-lifetime view of the dwarf planet’s  icy mountains and plains.
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During the year just ended, our own Solar System made the biggest headlines in astronomy and space exploration. At the top of the list were the amazing images and detailed physical data returned by the New Horizons mission to the double-dwarf system of Pluto and Charon (Stern et al. 2015). Close behind were the data sent back from Ceres by the Dawn spacecraft. Then came evidence from various sources elsewhere in our system for liquid water, whether flowing on the surface of Mars or sloshing in a global ocean beneath the ice shell of Enceladus (Thomas et al. 2015). Extrasolar astronomy offered nothing comparable. 

Yet the growth in our evidence for exoplanets – near and far, individually and in systems, at the present epoch and across galactic history – continued at a rapid pace in 2015. In November, the exoplanetary census maintained by the Extrasolar Planets Encyclopaedia passed 2000. Today it stands at 2041: double the count registered just two years ago, and an order of magnitude larger than the census in 2006. Most exoplanets (62%) are known by the shadows they cast while crossing the face of their parent stars, through the so-called transit method. Those in the next largest sample (31%) were revealed by their gravitational effects on the spectral lines of their parent stars, as shown by radial velocity observations. The remainder were found variously by direct imaging, microlensing, and pulsation timing.

As 2016 begins, the astronomical community is still digesting the massive haul of data collected by the primary Kepler mission from 2009 to 2013, even as new discoveries by K2 (Kepler’s successor) and other programs continue to accumulate. This posting will highlight some of the most remarkable extrasolar detections of the past year, focusing on contributions to our understanding of planet structure, planet formation, and system architectures. Then we’ll glance at a few other important studies of a more theoretical nature.

Figure 2. Aldebaran
The red giant Aldebaran appears left of center as a foreground object against members of the more distant Hyades Cluster. Also known as Alpha Tauri, Aldebaran is only about 20 parsecs away, while the distance to the Hyades is about 46 parsecs. Twenty-five years of radial velocity observations support the presence of a massive gas giant planet orbiting Aldebaran in a period of 629 days. Image credit: Wikipedia
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Aldebaran is one of the brightest stars in northern skies, visible even in light-polluted environments (Figure 2). Its brightness is explained partly by its evolutionary status as a red giant of spectral type K5 III and partly by its proximity to Earth: it’s located just 66 light years away (20.4 parsecs). Back in 1993, when extrasolar planets were still science fiction, Artie Hatzes and William Cochrane reported six years of data demonstrating regular variations in the radial velocities of Aldebaran and two other nearby red giants, Arcturus and Pollux. As Hatzes & Cochrane noted at the time, “The exciting possibility that the variations are due to the presence of planetary companions should be treated with caution.” A planet around Pollux was eventually confirmed more than a decade later, in 2006. It’s a gas giant of 2.3 Jupiter masses (Mjup) orbiting at a semimajor axis of 1.6 AU (a little wider than the orbit of Mars). Although Arcturus is still awaiting confirmation, good tidings came from Aldebaran this past summer in the form of a Super Jupiter with an orbit similar to that of Pollux b (Hatzes et al. 2015). Details on the new system appear in Table 1.

In an era when splashy claims are sometimes rushed into press, only to be refuted within a few years, Hatzes & colleagues have upheld the most exacting scientific standards. They collected and analyzed data on Aldebaran b for more than 25 years – equivalent to about 15 planetary orbits – before ultimately confirming its reality. Their publications on this project over the past two decades offer a window on our progress in understanding nearby stars. When they reported their early findings, Pollux and Aldebaran were credited with respective masses of 2.8 and 2.5 Msol, and these values informed estimates of planetary masses. Since then, the numbers have been revised dramatically downward to 1.7 and 1.1 Msol, respectively. Evidently Pollux is a “retired A star” (Johnson et al. 2011), but Aldebaran seems to have begun its existence as a Sun-like star. Among planet-hosting red giants, which now number at least 60, that origin puts it in the minority. 

Table 1. Parameters of the Aldebaran system
For Aldebaran (the host star), column 1 = mass in Solar units; column 2 = radius in Solar units; column 3 = metallicity as the ratio of iron to hydrogen; column 4 = effective temperature in Kelvin, column 5 = age in billions of years; column 6 = spectral type, column 7 = distance in parsecs. For Aldebaran b (the planet), column 1 = mass in Jupiter units; column 2 = orbital semimajor axis in astronomical units; column 3 = orbital eccentricity; column 4 = orbital period in days.
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EPIC 210490365 Aldebaran is the right eye of the bull in the zodiacal constellation of Taurus. It’s surrounded by bluer, dimmer stars that trace the rest of the bull’s face (Figure 2). All the other stars comprise a completely unrelated structure known as the Hyades Cluster, which at 44 parsecs is more distant than Aldebaran, though still quite nearby in Galactic terms. The Hyades are also much younger than Aldebaran, representing stars of all colors born in a single hydrogen cloud about 650 million years ago. Data collected by the K2 Mission reveal that one member of the cluster – a red dwarf of type M4.5 with a fiendishly unmemorable catalog number – is accompanied by a gas dwarf of 3.43 Earth radii (Rea) transiting every 3.5 days (Mann et al. 2015). Given its membership in the Hyades Cluster, the host star’s characteristics are well constrained (0.29 Msol, [Fe/H] +0.15), but no data are available on the new planet’s mass.

Despite the cluster’s proximity and size (at least 200 star systems), EPIC 210490365b is only the third exoplanet ever detected in the Hyades. The first was a Super Jupiter of 7.5 Mjup orbiting the red giant Epsilon Tauri (the bull’s left eye) in a period of 595 days (Sato et al. 2007). The second was a Hot Jupiter of 0.92 Mjup orbiting HD 285507 (spectral type K4.5, 0.73 Msol) in a period of 6 days (Quinn et al. 2013). Two more giant planets – both Hot Jupiters – have been reported around Sun-like stars in another nearby cluster, Praesepe, which shares a common origin with the Hyades (Quinn et al. 2012). Finally, Kepler Mission data revealed two low-mass planets (Kepler-66b and -67b; Meibom et al. 2013) transiting G-type stars in NGC 6811, a star cluster aged about 1 billion years located 1107 parsecs away (3600 light years). With respective radii of 2.8 and 2.9 Rea, Kepler-66b and Kepler-67b appear typical of the large population of puffy Kepler planets with hydrogen/helium atmospheres and masses between 2 and 12 Mea. The new Hyades gas dwarf reported by Mann & colleagues has an even puffier profile, although it isn’t necessarily more massive. It’s the third low-mass planet detected in any star cluster and the first to be identified in the Hyades.

Figure 3. Bright stars within 15 parsecs of the center of the Hyades Cluster

The x-axis shows right ascension; the y-axis shows declination. The position of EPIC 210490365 is marked by a red six-pointed star at RA 04:13:06, Dec +15:14:52 Except for this M dwarf exoplanet host, only stars of type K or earlier appear in the diagram, color-coded by spectral classification. A halo around a star indicates multiplicity. The inner dot-dashed circle traces the cluster’s core radius (2.7 parsecs); the outer circle shows the tidal radius (10 parsecs). To date, three exoplanetary systems have been identified in the Hyades Cluster.
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HD 219134 is still closer than Aldebaran and the Hyades, located just 21 light years (6.53 parsecs) away. With an enhanced metallicity of +0.11, this orange dwarf has long been considered a potential planetary host. Its spectral type of K3 (not too dim) and mass of 0.78 Msol (not too small) add to its appeal. This past year, two different groups (Motalebi et al., Vogt et al.) reported a fascinating system around this star, including at least three low-mass planets on short-period orbits and one cool gas giant orbiting outside 2 AU. Motalebi’s group even reported the detection of a single transit of the innermost planet (HD 219134 b), a likely Super Earth. If this transit is confirmed, the planet in question will join an exclusive club of small exoplanets with measured masses and radii. This system is discussed in more detail here and here.

Kepler-138 The club of small planets with measured masses inducted several new members over the past year, including three from the same system. Analyses of transit data on a faint M dwarf known as Kepler-138, located at an unspecified distance, enabled the characterization of three undeniably terrestrial planets with orbital periods between 10 and 23 days. The host star has an estimated mass of 0.52 Msol and metallicity of -0.28. Analyses of transit timing variations enabled Jontof-Hutter & colleagues to calculate masses for all three planets, revealing a startling mismatch in densities.

Table 2. Parameters of the Kepler-138 system
Masses & radii are shown in Earth units; semimajor axis (a) in astronomical units (AU); period in days; and equilibrium temperature (Teq) in Kelvin.
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Kepler-138b is a rare example of a subterrestrial exoplanet, almost identical to Mars in radius but even less massive. Despite its much larger radius, Kepler-138d is another subterrestrial; it is less massive than Venus. Both of these objects must include a volatile component (presumably water) to explain their unexpectedly large radii. Only Kepler-138c is a bona fide Super Earth, with an estimated mass that implies an Earth-like composition. Of course, all three planets are much hotter than Earth.

Kepler-444 Yet another remarkable system of small planets was announced at the beginning of 2015 (Campante et al.). Instead of its unprecedented architecture, though, the headlines emphasized the system’s advanced age: at an estimated 11.2 billion years, the host star is just a little younger than the Milky Way itself. As expected of such an ancient star, Kepler-444 is poor in metals, with [Fe/H] at -0.55. Nevertheless, it harbors five tightly packed, slow-roasted planets with a likely aggregate mass of 1.5 Mea – rather less than the total mass of the Solar System’s four terrestrial planets. All these objects are “Martians,” with radii larger than Mercury but smaller than Venus, and all are expected to be purely rocky and blazing hot, lacking volatiles. Even such dense objects are still too lightweight to be detected by radial velocity surveys, despite the brightness and proximity of the parent star. In fact, Kepler-444 is one of the closest stars in the entire Kepler sample, located just 35.7 parsecs away (116 light years). Its respectable mass of o.76 Msol and spectral type of K0 have enabled unusually precise estimates of system parameters, as summarized in Table 3.
 
Table 3. Parameters of the Kepler-444 system
Radii are shown in Earth units; semimajor axis (a) in astronomical units (AU); period in days; and equilibrium temperature (Teq) in Kelvin.
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Campante & colleagues noted that all adjacent planet pairs in this system orbit just outside first-order mean motion resonances, suggesting that they migrated into their present configuration in the presence of a protoplanetary nebula. The orbits are also almost perfectly co-planar, consistent with dynamic stability over the lifetime of the Galaxy.

Adding to the intricacy of this celestial clockwork is the fact that Kepler-444 itself is the primary or “A” component of a hierarchical triple star system. Its companions, Kepler-444B and C, are M dwarfs with respective masses of 0.29 and 0.25 Msol. They are locked in a tight binary orbit with a semimajor axis of 0.3 AU or less. Currently, the binary is separated from Kepler-444A by a projected distance of about 66 AU. A new study by Dupuy & colleagues reports astrometric and radial velocity data on all three stars, arguing that the binary is engaged in a highly eccentric orbit around the system’s center of mass, sharing a semimajor axis of 36.7 AU and an eccentricity of 0.864 with Kepler-444A. These values imply that the BC binary and the A star have a minimum separation of 5 AU at each periastron passage during their shared orbital period of about 200 years. Such an orbit would seem to compromise the long-term survival of the planetary system, but Dupuy & colleagues argue that both the planetary and stellar orbits are co-planar, promoting dynamical stability over the age of the Milky Way. 

WASP-47 has been recognized as the host of an “entirely typical” Hot Jupiter since 2012. Located at a distance of about 200 parsecs, it’s a G-type star of 1.04 Msol with substantial enrichment in metals, given its [M/H] of +0.36. New data from two different sources – the spaceborne K2 Mission and the ground-based CORALIE program – now portray a unique mixed-mass system (Becker et al. 2015) that is already the focus of theoretical efforts to explain its singular architecture. Two short-period, low-mass planets were announced this summer, one inside and the other outside the orbit of the known Hot Jupiter (WASP-47b). Shortly afterward, a second gas giant (WASP-47c) was reported at a semimajor axis of 1.36 AU (Neveu-VanMalle et al. 2015). 

Figure 4. The three inner planets of WASP-47
The three transiting planets of WASP-47 are shown at their relative sizes. The number inside each sphere refers to the planet’s estimated mass in Earth units (Mea). The value for planet e is a guesstimate within narrow limits; the other two are supported by radial velocity and transit timing data. A second gas giant planet (WASP-47c) is also present on a wider orbit outside the scale of this diagram.
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Still more recently, two theoretical studies that appeared as preprints offer findings relevant to the system’s evolution. The first, by Batygin & colleagues, proposes that the three inner planets of WASP-47 formed in situ, although it’s not clear how one of them ballooned into a giant while the other two stayed small. The second, by Hand & Alexander, reports the results of a suite of simulations of migration scenarios for systems of compact short-period planets. In their simulations, whole families of small planets assemble outside system snow lines and then migrate inward to warmer orbits. If the outermost or penultimate planet accretes enough mass during this process to grow into a gas giant (the growth mechanism is unclear), it will sculpt the orbits of the smaller inner planets in various ways. In extreme cases, the low-mass planets are ejected from the system or driven into the star. In more peaceful iterations, the gas giant squeezes the inner planets into extremely tight orbits, as we see in Kepler-90. Hand & Alexander also suggest that some compact low-mass systems harbor invisible giants on wider orbits (a notion conveyed in their title, "There Might Be Giants"). Their celebrity candidate for such a configuration is Kepler-11, but a similar scenario could also be applied to WASP-47, where the outer giant is actually visible.

Two Baby Giants from HATS Low-mass planets like Earth and Uranus have bulk compositions dominated by heavy elements, whereas gas giant planets like Saturn and Jupiter consist primarily of hydrogen. But the boundary between the two species is imprecise. Remarkably, a program other than Kepler or K2 recently contributed critical new data on this issue. The Hungarian Automated Telescope Network South, better known as HATS, reported two transiting planets, HATS-7b and HATS-8b, that appear transitional between the dwarfs and the giants. Although the two planets are similar in mass, they differ widely in radius and composition.

HATS-7b orbits a metallic K-type star in a period of 3.2 days (Bakos et al. 2015). Transit observations yield a radius of 6.31 Rea; radial velocity data provide a mass of 38.2 Mea. The bulk composition favored by the discovery team is about 82% rock/metal and 18% hydrogen/heliumbroadly similar to the composition of Uranus. They note that the minimum mass for a heavy element core that is consistent with the planet’s radius is 25 Mea – much higher than any purely rocky planet ever detected.

HATS-8b follows a similar orbit (3.5 days) around a metallic G-type star (Bayliss et al. 2015). At 43.9 Mea, this planet is less than half as massive as Saturn (95 Mea), but its puffy radius of 9.79 Rea makes it slightly larger. The discovery team suggests a hydrogen/helium envelope accounting for about 77% of its bulk composition. The corresponding heavy element core of about 10 Mea is predicted by current models of gas giant formation.

These two HATS join at least two previously reported objects that lie just at the threshold of the mass range typical of gas giant planets. They are Kepler-35b, which has a mass of 40 Mea, a radius of 8.16 Rea, and an orbital period of 131 days; and HAT-P-18b, which has a mass of 58 Mea, a radius of 10.6 Rea, and an orbital period of 5.5 days.

Theory of Small Planets

The sample of Mars- to Super Earth-size planets grew significantly in 2015. These objects consist entirely of heavy elements and are appropriately described as terrestrial. A selection appears in Figure 5. Although exoplanets in this mass range (0.05–10 Mea) are known mostly through transit observations, the full population of transiting planets is dominated by puffy gas dwarfs with hydrogen/helium envelopes and radii of 2–4 Rea. In contrast, as discussed in previous posts, most terrestrial planets in the Galaxy must be smaller than 2 Rea.

This population attracted considerable attention in the past year, especially the subset with masses measured by transit timing or radial velocity variations. Notable studies of small planets either published or in press in 2015 include Dawson, Chiang & Lee, A metallicity recipe for rocky planets; Dressing et al., The mass of Kepler-93b and the composition of terrestrial planets; Howe & Burrows, Evolutionary models of Super Earths and Mini Neptunes incorporating cooling and mass loss; Jontof-Hutter, Ford, et al.,  Robust TTV mass measurements: Ten Kepler exoplanets between 3 and 8 Mea; Owen & Wu, Atmospheres of low-mass planets: The Boil-Off; Rogers, Most 1.6 Earth-radius exoplanets are not rocky; and Unterborn et al., Scaling the Earth. Bibliographic details appear in the reference section below.

Figure 5. Terrestrial planets near and far with measured masses and radii
These imaginative renderings of eight well-studied extrasolar planets appear alongside photographs of Mercury, Venus, and Earth. All are represented at their relative sizes, with masses (Mea) and radii (Rea) indicated in Earth units. 55 Cancri e is assigned the new radius reported by Demory et al. 2015, who speculate that this Hellworld experiences frequent volcanic eruptions. Three of the exoplanets shown here (55 Cancri e, Kepler-10b, Kepler-78b) complete a single orbit in less than 24 hours.

Twenty Years of Hot Jupiters

2015 was the 20th anniversary of the discovery of the first Hot Jupiter, 51 Pegasi b. A Hot Jupiter is a gas giant planet that orbits its parent star in a period shorter than 10 days. Before 51 Pegasi b was announced, few people even dreamed that such planets were possible. Now about 300 are known.

Theorists have been trying to explain these unexpected objects ever since the initial detections. Until recently, all theories assumed that they formed outside their system ice lines (at about 2 AU or so) and were then transported somehow to their present hot orbits. Proposed mechanisms included 1) migration by interaction with the primordial gas nebula (Type II migration); 2) migration by gravitational interactions with another gas giant in the same system, either during a brief period of dynamic instability or by long-term perturbations through so-called Kozai cycles; and 3) migration by gravitational interactions with a misaligned stellar companion of the host star in another type of Kozai regime.

The first mechanism has generally been the most popular, in part because it doesn’t depend on assuming the past or present existence of a potentially undetected (and possibly undetectable) companion planet or star. If Type II migration is indeed the dominant delivery mechanism for Hot Jupiters, then we would expect all Hot Jupiters that took this pathway to follow orbits that are well-aligned with the spin axis of their parent stars.

However, orbital misalignment appears to be quite common among transiting Hot Jupiters (the only subset in which this phenomenon can be observed). Accordingly, a team of astronomers launched the “Friends of Hot Jupiter” study to test whether one of the other two mechanisms might be responsible for most of this population. They selected a sample of 50 Hot Jupiters in two subgroups: 23 with well-aligned orbits and 27 with misaligned orbits.

The results of this impressive program have now been published in three successive articles. The first, by Knutson et al., appeared in 2014. This installment returned the remarkable finding that half of the systems in each group revealed radial velocity evidence for a second gas giant on a wider orbit. Some of these were already known, but almost half were newly determined through radial velocity trends. Nevertheless, analyses found no statistically significant association between evidence for an outer giant and the alignment of the known Hot Jupiter.

The second and third installments appeared in 2015; both involved searches for companion stars in Hot Jupiter systems (Ngo et al., Piskorz et al.) Although about half the host stars in the sample showed evidence of a binary companion, the presence or absence of such a companion had no association with the orbital alignment of the Hot Jupiter. The authors also noted that Hot Jupiters appear to reside preferentially in binary systems, despite the indifference of alignment to binarity.

If nothing else, the Friends of Hot Jupiters seem to have falsified the claim that stellar Kozai cycles are the primary cause of observed misalignments in transiting giants. Where exactly Hot Jupiters form and how exactly they got where they are now, however, remain open questions.

Happy New Year!

Figure 6. The sample of Hot Jupiters studied by Sing & colleagues
This pretty array of Hot Jupiters was published at the start of the holiday season, calling to mind a set of ornaments for a cosmic Christmas tree. The image illustrates a study by Sing and colleagues, who conducted a spectroscopic search for water in Hot Jupiter atmospheres.

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