Some people start their day by
checking stock prices or sports scores. I usually visit the homepage of the Extrasolar Planets Encyclopaedia (EPE) so I can
peruse the latest articles and preprints and check the exoplanetary census. So
the other morning I squinted and did a triple take when I saw the number.
Overnight the census had jumped from below 1100 to almost 1800 planets.
I understood what had happened: this
growth spurt coincided with the circulation of two preprints by the Kepler team,
detailing several hundred new planets, most in multiplanet systems (Rowe et al.
2014, Lissauer et al. 2014). But I was surprised by the remarkable swiftness
with which EPE incorporated those objects into
its catalog.
This latest data dump gives us a
whole new picture of the otherworldly cosmos (see a 2013
post for perspective). Transiting objects are now the single largest
population of exoplanets, representing almost two-thirds of the full sample.
They outnumber planets discovered by radial velocity (RV) by more than two to
one.
The RV and transiting populations
are now sharply distinct. The RV sample is dominated by gas giants: 78% have
minimum masses of at least 0.15 Jupiter masses (0.15 Mjup). This sample also
includes planets at a wide range of orbital periods, from less than a day to well
in excess of 5,000 days. (By comparison, the period of Jupiter is 4,333 days,
or just under 12 years.) Half of them have periods shorter than 365 days.
The transiting sample is dominated
by low-mass planets: 78% are smaller than 7 Earth radii (7 Rea). It is also
dominated by small orbits. The longest period in the sample is 904 days, while
more than 99% have periods shorter than 365 days, and 90% have periods shorter
than 50 days.
I’ve graphed the radius
distribution of transiting planets a few times over the past two years – check
out earlier examples here
(2012) and here
(2013). The current profile is radically different. What used to be a
double-peaked distribution is now a mountain of small planets attended by mere
foothills of gas giants. Notably, Earth- and Super Earth-size planets (1-2 Rea)
are now the most numerous subgroup. Their abundance appears to contradict the
findings of Petigura et al. (2013), who argued that planets of 2-3 Rea were the
most numerous in the Kepler data, while largely discounting any selection bias
against smaller objects (see Au-delĂ
de neuf cents exoplanètes for more discussion).
Figure 1. Radii of
1117 Transiting Planets < 18 Earth Radii
Data were retrieved from EPE on March 8, 2014. The letters M, E, U, S,
and J mark the positions of Mars, Earth, Uranus, Saturn, and Jupiter on the
scale of radii.
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If we consider low-mass planets to
be RV planets with masses below 0.15 Mjup and transiting planets with radii
smaller than 7 Rea, then low-mass companions now account for 60% of the
combined extrasolar population. In short, small
planets rule the galaxy.
As
in the past, I find that the RV and transiting samples are most useful for discerning
patterns in the full population. That’s because the information available from
other search methods (direct imaging, microlensing, pulsar timing) is too
patchy for most comparisons. Nevertheless, for completeness, here is how those
three samples break down: all the directly imaged objects are either gas giants
or brown dwarfs; two-thirds of the microlensed objects are probably gas giants;
and two out of five pulsar planets are gas giants, making this tiny sample the
only group besides transiting planets with a low-mass majority.
Within the transiting sample,
Kepler Mission results dominate at all radii smaller than 9 Rea, which now
represent the vast majority. Unfortunately, data on most of these small planets
are incomplete. Few are associated with information on star distance, spectral
type, planet mass, or orbital eccentricity. Radius data enable rough estimates
of the masses of planets smaller than 6 Rea (see Puffy
Planets), while stellar equilibrium temperature generally correlates with
spectral type. Nonetheless, as many recent studies have shown, the parameters
of many – if not most – Kepler target stars need further corroboration, and will
likely be revised in the future.
Another challenge in using data on
transiting planets obtained from EPE is the
frequency of errors in its catalog. For example, when I visited the site today,
I noticed that Kepler-87
is presented as a two-planet system, even though four planets have been
confirmed and published in a peer-reviewed journal. Kepler-52b, with a radius of
2.13 Rea, is assigned a mass of 0.28 Mjup, similar to the mass of Saturn. Kepler-25b,
with a radius of 2.71 Rea, is characterized as a Super Jupiter of 9.6 Mjup! Yet
both of these planets must be less massive than Neptune.
For well-informed users of EPE, such glitches are simply annoying. As
hinted above, though, the transit data have a more recalcitrant drawback,
regardless of source: they are extremely sparse for orbital periods longer than
50 days. If our knowledge of the Solar System were limited to the same
parameter space, we would think our Sun hurtled through eternity all alone. This
limitation underscores the importance of using RV data to illuminate transit
data, and vice versa.
In sum, the latest planet dump provides a brand-new perspective on the ensemble of planetary systems in our region of the Milky Way. Still, some things haven’t changed at all. The only plausible candidate for a habitable planet in the full extrasolar sample remains Kepler-62f. None of the new planets can rival its qualifications. Nor has this avalanche of small planets revealed any new compact, mixed mass systems like the ones I described in my previous post.
In sum, the latest planet dump provides a brand-new perspective on the ensemble of planetary systems in our region of the Milky Way. Still, some things haven’t changed at all. The only plausible candidate for a habitable planet in the full extrasolar sample remains Kepler-62f. None of the new planets can rival its qualifications. Nor has this avalanche of small planets revealed any new compact, mixed mass systems like the ones I described in my previous post.
My own wish list continues to be
dominated by follow-up studies on the most fascinating RV and transiting
systems – 55 Cancri, GJ
667C, Tau
Ceti, Alpha
Centauri B, Kepler-62,
and Kepler-90.
REFERENCES
Lissauer
JJ, Marcy GW, Bryson ST,
Rowe JF, Jontof-Hutter D, Agol A, Borucki WJ, Carter JA, Ford EB, Gilliland RL,
Kolbl R, Star KM, Steffen JH, Torres G. (2014) Validation of Kepler’s multiple
planet candidates. II: Refined statistical framework and descriptions of
systems of special interest. Astrophysical
Journal 784, 44. Abstract: http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2014arXiv1402.6534R.
Petigura EA, Geoffrey MW, Howard AW. (2013) A plateau in the
planet population below twice the size of Earth. Astrophysical Journal 770, 69. Abstract: http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2013ApJ...770...69P
Rowe JR, Bryson ST, Marcy GW, Lissauer
JJ, Jontof-Hutter D, Mullally F, Gilliland RL, Isaacson H, Ford F, Howell SB,
Borucki WJ, et al. (2014) Validation of Kepler’s multiple planet
candidates. III: Light curve analysis & announcement of hundreds of new
multi-planet systems. Astrophysical Journal 784, 45. Abstract: http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2014arXiv1402.6534R
I'm surprised how little attention Kepler-62f gets - I've heard Kepler-62e get much more attention, even though it has a larger radius and is probably a super-Venus if it isn't a mini-gas giant (the only thing it has going for it is that it's smaller than the 1.75 Earth-radius mentioned in the Lopez-Fortney paper).
ReplyDeleteSure, it only gets the equivalent of 42% of Earth's sunlight, but it's also bigger than Earth and much more likely to hold on to a magnetosphere and warming atmosphere to make up for it.
Amen to that! From what I see in the astrobiological literature, it's seems easier for planets with lower effective temperatures to warm up (through atmospheric greenhouse effects) than it is for planets with higher effective temperatures to cool down. If Mars were more massive, maybe it could retain enough heat to have liquid water.
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